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Adidas-Reebok merger a challenge to Nike

PORTLAND, Ore. -- When it comes to athletic shoes, the home court advantage has been with Nike.

Rival Adidas has been like a lightweight going into the ring against a well-conditioned heavyweight, trying from Germany to take on the swoosh without budging its bigger competitor in the critical U.S. market.

But Adidas-Salomon AG has just added some marketing muscle with the acquisition of Reebok International Ltd., boosting the combined U.S. share of No. 2 Adidas and No. 3 Reebok to 21 percent - enough to be a real contender, analysts say.

"This clearly, in our opinion, will lead to a much more serious competitive environment than the industry has been exposed to in probably the last five years," said John Shanley of Susquehanna Financial Group.

Shareholders of Canton, Mass.-based Reebok approved the $3.8 billion takeover by a 98 percent margin Wednesday, a day after Adidas won European Union regulatory approval. No antitrust objections were raised by U.S. regulators.

Reebok said Wednesday the companies now expect to close the deal by Jan. 31, a quick conclusion they hope will end the uncertainty that had hurt sales and orders to retailers. Reebok acknowledged three months ago that uncertainty about integration plans had hurt sales, which declined to $912 million in the third quarter of 2005, from $1 billion in the previous year's quarter.

Adidas spokesman Jan Runau at company headquarters in Herzogenaurach, Germany, said the Reebok headquarters will remain in Massachusetts while Adidas will maintain its separate U.S. headquarters in Portland.

Adidas plans to keep the brand identities separate as well, and focus on expanding Reebok sales in Europe and Asia "where Reebok is relatively small and Adidas is very strong," Runau said.

He also said the combination should save Adidas about $25 million a year in production and supply chain costs within three years.

Shanley said that Adidas Chairman and CEO Herbert Hainer targeted Reebok as part of a deliberate strategy to confront Nike, based in suburban Beaverton.

Runau, however, said the U.S. market was only one consideration in the overall growth plan for Adidas.

"The North American business was only one of the many strategic rationales behind our decision to acquire Reebok," Runau said.

Shanley said Adidas has been surpassing Nike in both Europe and Japan, and its sales have grown in the United Kingdom, its home base in Germany, and in southern Europe, "markets where Nike is either treading water or losing position."

He noted that in Japan in 2005, "for the first time in well over a decade, Nike lost the market share leadership position to Adidas. That's a heckuva statement, especially because Japan is an extremely important market for Nike."

The combination of Adidas and Reebok gives them about 28 percent of the international market for athletic footwear, nudging them much closer to the 31 percent share of sales Nike has outside the United States, according to figures by Sporting Goods Intelligence.

But the situation in the U.S. market is much different.

In 2004, Adidas had just 9 percent of the athletic shoe sales in the United States while Nike commanded 36 percent - in the market, that accounts for half of all the athletic shoes sold in the entire world.

David Carter, president of the Sports Business Group, said the merger can be viewed in two ways: As a challenge to Nike, or an admission by Adidas and Reebok they could never overtake Nike alone despite years of trying.

Either way, Carter said, Nike is likely to respond with the kind of marketing skills that have made it the largest athletic shoe and clothing manufacturer in the world.

"They've seen lot of people come and go, and seen the industry shake out many times," Carter said of Nike. "And every time the industry shakes out they have emerged smarter and stronger."

Nike spokesman Alan Marks declined to comment, other than to repeat what the company has said in the past.

"Our comments have always been that we're following our own game plan," Marks said.

The Nike "swoosh" logo is instantly recognized around the globe, and its stable of celebrity athlete endorsements from superstars such as Michael Jordan and Tiger Woods have helped the company build an enduring image, Carter said.

The Adidas three-stripe logo is familiar but not as closely tied to marquee names, he said.

"For a generation of consumers who have known Nike for being nothing less than their brand, it's their generation's Coca-Cola, burned into their consciousness, burned into an entire generation," Carter said. "The same can't be said for Adidas."

Erich Stamminger, president and CEO of the Adidas brand, has said the German company has no plans to expand its own stable of celebrity athletes, including Kobe Bryant of the Los Angeles Lakers and soccer star David Beckham.

But that strategy may change as Adidas begins to compete for more of the U.S. market, said Ravi Dhar, professor of marketing and co-director of the Center for Customer Insights at the Yale University School of Management.

"Nike has a tremendous amount of brand awareness and brand strength," Dhar said. "But Adidas has a very strong history, too. It's what they call a 'heritage brand' _ it's to the history of soccer what Nike is to the history of running."

The acquisition of Reebok could allow Adidas to divide and conquer the two major market segments for athletic shoes and clothing _ style and performance, Dhar said.

Reebok could focus on the style segment while Adidas could focus more on performance shoes and equipment to expand its market share with a broader offering of products, he said.

And that could be a major factor in the competition for the U.S. market, where Reebok had outsold Adidas.

"Where Adidas might have trouble getting retail shelf space because they sell less in the United States, now they can ride Reebok's coattails," Dhar said.


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